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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.The United States International Trade Commission made the final ruling on the third double-reverse sunset review of raw rubber magnetism, China Trade Relief Information Network, December 12, The United States International Trade Commission (ITC) voted to make the affirmative final ruling on the third anti-dumping sunset review of Raw Flexible Magnets imported from Chinese mainland and Taiwan Province, and the affirmative final ruling on the third countervailing sunset review of raw rubber magnets imported from Chinese mainland: it ruled that if the current anti-dumping and countervailing measures are abolished, the substantial damage caused by the import of the products involved may continue or recur in the reasonably foreseeable period. According to the final ruling, the current anti-dumping and countervailing measures in this case continue to be effective.State Power Investment Corporation set up an economic and technological research and consulting company with AI software development business. According to the enterprise search APP, recently, State Power Investment Corporation Economic and Technological Research and Consulting Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of He Yongjian and the registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence application software development; Information system integration service; Industrial Internet data service; Social and economic consulting services, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by State Power Investment Group Co., Ltd.

State Power Investment Corporation set up an economic and technological research and consulting company with AI software development business. According to the enterprise search APP, recently, State Power Investment Corporation Economic and Technological Research and Consulting Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of He Yongjian and the registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence application software development; Information system integration service; Industrial Internet data service; Social and economic consulting services, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by State Power Investment Group Co., Ltd.Lingang Group and Cisco signed a memorandum of cooperation to build an intelligent AI+ ecosystem. According to Shanghai Lingang News, Lingang Group and Cisco China signed a memorandum of cooperation on December 11th, and both parties will work together to build an intelligent AI+ ecosystem. Lingang Group will empower Cisco to enhance the core competitiveness and market-oriented application of its core AI products through projects in the fields of AI+ intelligent computing scenarios, vehicle network collaboration and smart travel in industrial zones, and will support Cisco to promote the digital transformation and continuous iteration of industrial zones. Cisco will fully participate in the construction of the AI innovation platform in the industrial zone, help the industrial zone to cultivate and build a digital industry team, and provide all-round assistance for the digital development of the industrial zone.Turkish regulators will block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges.

Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Reuters opinion polls show that 94% of economists said that the tariffs of US President-elect Trump will have a negative or some negative impact on the Japanese economy; 51 of 52 economists said that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to at least 0.50% before the end of March; 58% of analysts said that the Bank of Japan will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in December, compared with 44% in November; The salary increase in Japan's labor negotiations in the next fiscal year is 4.7%, which is lower than the median forecast of 5.1% in this fiscal year.Yuncheng, Shanxi: The maximum amount of housing provident fund loans for families with two or more children is 1.2 million yuan. On December 12, according to the news of "Yuncheng Municipal People's Government" on WeChat WeChat official account, Yuncheng City, Shanxi Province recently issued "Measures for Yuncheng City to Further Promote the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market". The measures mentioned that for high-level talents, families with two or more children, the maximum amount of housing provident fund loans will increase by 20% on the basis of 1 million yuan; Optimize the "loan recognition" standard for housing provident fund loans; Increase the amount and frequency of rental withdrawal; Expand the scope of housing provident fund purchase; In Salt Lake District and Yuncheng Economic and Technological Development Zone, those who purchase commercial housing (including stock houses) will open a green channel for household registration, and tenants will give priority to school-age children.